Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Cizikas 51.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 91.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 60.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 76.0%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Fantilli
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Fantilli
Cizikas
Last 10: Fantilli 3-7 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Cizikas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
3
Fantilli
Cizikas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
5
Fantilli
Cizikas
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
53.5% (8,976)
-8.8%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
55.4% (177)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
44.4% (1,896)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,167).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Cizikas
Home
47.3% (1,209)
53.8% (5,529)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
50.1% (5,521)
By Period
Fantilli
Cizikas
P1
43.8%
53.1%
P2
46.3%
51.1%
P3
45.9%
51.8%
OT
25.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |