Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 50.5%). Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Coyle 50.5% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 83.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 80.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 51.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Fantilli
Coyle
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
52.3% (853)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
44.4% (63)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
44.5% (191)
+5.5%
On power play, Fantilli has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Coyle
Home
50.7% (503)
49.0% (567)
Away
48.5% (501)
52.0% (540)
By Period
Fantilli
Coyle
P1
47.0%
49.5%
P2
52.5%
49.4%
P3
49.7%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%