Adam Fantilli vs Connor Bedard

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Adam Fantilli holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Fantilli 49.6% vs Bedard 46.5% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone Fantilli 69.6%
Defensive zone Bedard 66.6%
Neutral zone Fantilli 53.1%
Result Adam Fantilli favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Fantilli Bedard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Fantilli
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
44.2% (505)
+5.2%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
66.7% (36)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
53.8% (13)
-3.8%
On power play, Bedard has a +15.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Bedard
Home
50.7% (503)
50.7% (223)
Away
48.5% (501)
42.6% (331)
By Period
Fantilli
Bedard
P1
47.0%
40.2%
P2
52.5%
49.2%
P3
49.7%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
45.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%
46.5%
49.6%
Bedard
44.0%
45.0%
45.8%