Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Bedard 41.4% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 69.3%
Defensive zone
Bedard 65.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 51.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Fantilli
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Fantilli
Bedard
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Bedard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
2
Fantilli
Bedard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
3
Fantilli
Bedard
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
40.2% (1,635)
+4.5%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
51.8% (83)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
50.0% (24)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Bedard is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,259).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Bedard
Home
47.3% (1,209)
43.3% (785)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
38.9% (957)
By Period
Fantilli
Bedard
P1
43.8%
38.9%
P2
46.3%
41.2%
P3
45.9%
42.5%
OT
25.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |