Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Strome 58.3% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 60.4%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 60.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 63.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Fantilli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Fantilli
Strome
Last 5: Fantilli 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Fantilli
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
56.4% (890)
-7.0%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
66.9% (311)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
41.7% (12)
+8.3%
On power play, Strome has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Strome
Home
50.7% (503)
55.7% (627)
Away
48.5% (501)
62.5% (586)
By Period
Fantilli
Strome
P1
47.0%
61.7%
P2
52.5%
55.7%
P3
49.7%
60.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |