Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Strome 51.7% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 72.5%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 68.0%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 68.0%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Fantilli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Fantilli
Strome
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
4
Fantilli
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
3
Fantilli
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
5
Fantilli
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
50.1% (6,371)
-5.4%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
58.6% (1,532)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
45.6% (68)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Strome is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,283).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Strome
Home
47.3% (1,209)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
52.3% (4,003)
By Period
Fantilli
Strome
P1
43.8%
50.5%
P2
46.3%
52.3%
P3
45.9%
52.3%
OT
25.8%
52.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |