Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Rodrigues 47.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 82.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 56.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 64.9%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Last 7: Fantilli 5-2 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
0
Fantilli
Rodrigues
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
2
Fantilli
Rodrigues
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
47.8% (651)
+1.6%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
47.2% (72)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
36.8% (68)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Home
50.7% (503)
47.9% (445)
Away
48.5% (501)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Fantilli
Rodrigues
P1
47.0%
48.3%
P2
52.5%
47.0%
P3
49.7%
44.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |