Adam Fantilli vs Evan Rodrigues
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 45.8%). Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Rodrigues 46.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 57.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 71.3%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 55.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Last 9: Fantilli 6-3 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
0
Fantilli
Rodrigues
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
3
Fantilli
Rodrigues
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
46.2% (2,897)
-1.5%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
44.8% (299)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
42.7% (220)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Home
47.3% (1,209)
47.1% (1,836)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
44.4% (1,580)
By Period
Fantilli
Rodrigues
P1
43.8%
46.9%
P2
46.3%
46.1%
P3
45.9%
44.4%
OT
25.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |