Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Malkin 48.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 56.6%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 57.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 62.3%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Fantilli
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Fantilli
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Fantilli
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
47.9% (776)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
66.7% (24)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Malkin
Home
46.8% (218)
49.6% (405)
Away
39.7% (174)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Fantilli
Malkin
P1
40.3%
49.6%
P2
38.1%
47.2%
P3
54.1%
48.5%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
43.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |