Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 45.8%). Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Malkin 45.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 51.2%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 55.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 58.4%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Fantilli
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Fantilli
Malkin
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Fantilli
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
6
Fantilli
Malkin
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
45.6% (10,081)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
50.1% (668)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
32.2% (59)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Malkin
Home
47.3% (1,209)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Fantilli
Malkin
P1
43.8%
45.9%
P2
46.3%
46.2%
P3
45.9%
45.2%
OT
25.8%
49.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |