Adam Fantilli vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 93.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 69.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 82.7%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Gaudreau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Fantilli
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
44.9% (414)
+4.5%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
31.8% (22)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
38.0% (129)
+12.0%
On power play, Fantilli has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Home
50.7% (503)
42.6% (277)
Away
48.5% (501)
43.1% (288)
By Period
Fantilli
Gaudreau
P1
47.0%
44.1%
P2
52.5%
44.7%
P3
49.7%
39.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |