Adam Fantilli vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 77.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 76.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 53.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Last 10: Fantilli 6-4 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Gaudreau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
6
Fantilli
Gaudreau
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
48.6% (3,770)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
53.9% (219)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
46.7% (793)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Home
47.3% (1,209)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
47.8% (2,345)
By Period
Fantilli
Gaudreau
P1
43.8%
49.7%
P2
46.3%
47.3%
P3
45.9%
49.1%
OT
25.8%
35.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |