Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Drury 57.7% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 94.3%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 70.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 81.7%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Fantilli
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Fantilli
Drury
Last 9: Fantilli 2-7 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
5
Fantilli
Drury
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
Fantilli
Drury
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
60.7% (702)
-11.3%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
40.0% (10)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
50.9% (165)
-0.9%
On power play, Fantilli has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Drury is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Drury
Home
50.7% (503)
58.0% (429)
Away
48.5% (501)
59.2% (448)
By Period
Fantilli
Drury
P1
47.0%
58.6%
P2
52.5%
57.9%
P3
49.7%
59.2%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Jack Drury |