Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Drury 57.0% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 94.8%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 86.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 94.7%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Fantilli
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
14
(17 meetings)
3
14
Fantilli
Drury
Last 10: Fantilli 2-8 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Drury
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
9
Fantilli
Drury
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
0
3
Fantilli
Drury
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
57.9% (2,010)
-13.2%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
58.5% (118)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
53.0% (300)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Drury is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,586).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Drury
Home
47.3% (1,209)
57.9% (1,234)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
56.7% (1,194)
By Period
Fantilli
Drury
P1
43.8%
55.9%
P2
46.3%
58.7%
P3
45.9%
57.1%
OT
25.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:04 | Neutral | Jack Drury |