Adam Fantilli vs Jake Evans

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jake Evans holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Fantilli 45.3% vs Evans 52.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor Evans leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone Fantilli 92.4%
Defensive zone Evans 59.0%
Neutral zone Fantilli 74.4%
Result Adam Fantilli favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Fantilli Evans
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 12 (18 meetings)
6
12
Fantilli Evans
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Evans

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
9
Fantilli Evans
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
2
Fantilli Evans
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Fantilli
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
53.7% (3,740)
-9.0%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
60.6% (71)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
47.1% (1,228)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +16.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Evans shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Evans
Home
47.3% (1,209)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Fantilli
Evans
P1
43.8%
54.0%
P2
46.3%
50.9%
P3
45.9%
52.0%
OT
25.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%
46.5%
45.1%
Evans
50.0%
57.0%
52.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 26, 2026 3 16:37 Offensive Jake Evans
Nov 17, 2025 3 18:41 Neutral Jake Evans
Nov 17, 2025 2 08:53 Neutral Adam Fantilli
Nov 17, 2025 2 08:44 Defensive Adam Fantilli
Nov 17, 2025 2 04:47 Neutral Adam Fantilli
Dec 23, 2024 3 16:14 Neutral Jake Evans
Dec 23, 2024 3 02:05 Defensive Jake Evans
Dec 23, 2024 2 14:04 Defensive Jake Evans
Dec 23, 2024 1 04:21 Defensive Jake Evans
Nov 27, 2024 3 11:22 Neutral Adam Fantilli
Nov 27, 2024 2 07:42 Defensive Jake Evans
Nov 27, 2024 2 07:33 Defensive Jake Evans
Nov 16, 2024 2 02:13 Defensive Jake Evans
Nov 16, 2024 2 02:03 Offensive Adam Fantilli
Nov 16, 2024 1 10:33 Defensive Jake Evans
Nov 29, 2023 1 12:38 Defensive Jake Evans
Oct 26, 2023 2 11:44 Defensive Jake Evans
Oct 26, 2023 1 05:56 Offensive Adam Fantilli