Adam Fantilli vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Pageau 59.0% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 90.2%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 52.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 77.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Fantilli
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Fantilli
Pageau
Last 10: Fantilli 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
2
Fantilli
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
8
Fantilli
Pageau
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
4
Fantilli
Pageau
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
59.4% (726)
-10.0%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
69.0% (42)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
59.7% (221)
-9.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Pageau
Home
50.7% (503)
58.4% (430)
Away
48.5% (501)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Fantilli
Pageau
P1
47.0%
55.4%
P2
52.5%
61.8%
P3
49.7%
61.5%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |