Adam Fantilli vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Pageau 54.8% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 23-14 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 94.2%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 81.4%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 92.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Fantilli
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
23
(37 meetings)
14
23
Fantilli
Pageau
Last 10: Fantilli 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
6
3
Fantilli
Pageau
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
13
Fantilli
Pageau
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
7
Fantilli
Pageau
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
55.8% (9,525)
-11.1%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
57.0% (1,008)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
49.6% (2,077)
-18.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Pageau
Home
47.3% (1,209)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Fantilli
Pageau
P1
43.8%
54.7%
P2
46.3%
56.3%
P3
45.9%
53.5%
OT
25.8%
54.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |