Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Eller 55.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 72.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 87.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Fantilli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Fantilli
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
56.0% (459)
-6.6%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
77.8% (9)
-26.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
51.9% (54)
-1.9%
On power play, Eller has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Eller
Home
50.7% (503)
52.6% (215)
Away
48.5% (501)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Fantilli
Eller
P1
47.0%
54.1%
P2
52.5%
57.6%
P3
49.7%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |