Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+8.8%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 61.7%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 66.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 54.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Fantilli
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
34.4% (535)
+8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
42.9% (21)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
40.0% (5)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Carlsson
Home
46.8% (218)
38.6% (254)
Away
39.7% (174)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Fantilli
Carlsson
P1
40.3%
35.9%
P2
38.1%
33.8%
P3
54.1%
34.3%
OT
30.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
38.9%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
43.6%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
34.8%