Adam Fantilli vs Mavrik Bourque
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 45.6%). Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Bourque 46.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 73.7%
Defensive zone
Bourque 76.4%
Neutral zone
Bourque 52.4%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Fantilli
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Fantilli
Bourque
Last 9: Fantilli 5-4 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
1
Fantilli
Bourque
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
1
2
Fantilli
Bourque
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
1
Fantilli
Bourque
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
46.6% (513)
-1.9%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
26.1% (23)
+25.3%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
42.9% (28)
-12.1%
On power play, Fantilli has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Bourque is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Bourque
Home
47.3% (1,209)
47.1% (263)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
44.2% (301)
By Period
Fantilli
Bourque
P1
43.8%
42.7%
P2
46.3%
42.8%
P3
45.9%
50.2%
OT
25.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |