Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 59.4%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 63.0%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 66.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
45.9% (697)
+3.5%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
47.9% (117)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
48.0% (25)
+2.0%
On even strength, Fantilli has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Home
50.7% (503)
44.9% (434)
Away
48.5% (501)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Fantilli
Schmaltz
P1
47.0%
41.5%
P2
52.5%
46.7%
P3
49.7%
51.1%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |