Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 54.3%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 63.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
3
Fantilli
Schmaltz
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Fantilli
Schmaltz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Fantilli
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
41.3% (3,431)
+3.4%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
47.3% (655)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
47.4% (135)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Home
47.3% (1,209)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Fantilli
Schmaltz
P1
43.8%
41.3%
P2
46.3%
42.8%
P3
45.9%
43.1%
OT
25.8%
42.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |