Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Kelly 41.4% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 84.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 51.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 68.0%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Fantilli
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Fantilli
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
36.5% (159)
+12.9%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
0.0% (1)
+51.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
38.5% (13)
+11.5%
On power play, Fantilli has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Kelly is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Kelly
Home
50.7% (503)
35.4% (79)
Away
48.5% (501)
37.2% (94)
By Period
Fantilli
Kelly
P1
47.0%
33.8%
P2
52.5%
36.5%
P3
49.7%
39.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |