Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Zacha 51.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 67.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 80.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Fantilli
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Fantilli
Zacha
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
3
Fantilli
Zacha
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
53.0% (700)
-3.6%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
54.1% (109)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
39.2% (74)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Zacha
Home
50.7% (503)
51.6% (438)
Away
48.5% (501)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Fantilli
Zacha
P1
47.0%
57.0%
P2
52.5%
48.9%
P3
49.7%
50.5%
OT
33.3%
42.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | OT | 03:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |