Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Suter 46.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 72.8%
Defensive zone
Suter 64.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 55.2%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Fantilli
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Fantilli
Suter
Last 9: Fantilli 3-6 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Suter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
5
Fantilli
Suter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
46.2% (3,223)
-1.5%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
53.0% (281)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
40.1% (307)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Suter is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,405).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Suter
Home
47.3% (1,209)
46.7% (1,823)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
45.7% (1,988)
By Period
Fantilli
Suter
P1
43.8%
46.6%
P2
46.3%
46.0%
P3
45.9%
46.0%
OT
25.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 15, 2024 | OT | 02:28 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Pius Suter |