Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Hartman 45.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 68.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 68.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 51.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Fantilli
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Fantilli
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Fantilli
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
45.1% (874)
+4.3%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
47.4% (95)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
37.5% (16)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hartman
Home
50.7% (503)
45.0% (515)
Away
48.5% (501)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Fantilli
Hartman
P1
47.0%
47.3%
P2
52.5%
40.1%
P3
49.7%
48.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |