Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 45.3%). Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Hartman 45.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 60.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 67.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 50.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Fantilli
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Fantilli
Hartman
Last 10: Fantilli 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
2
Fantilli
Hartman
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
45.2% (4,279)
-0.5%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
47.3% (446)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
42.4% (262)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hartman
Home
47.3% (1,209)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Fantilli
Hartman
P1
43.8%
46.1%
P2
46.3%
42.9%
P3
45.9%
46.7%
OT
25.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |