Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Pinto 51.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 77.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 88.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 51.8%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Fantilli
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Fantilli
Pinto
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Pinto
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
3
Fantilli
Pinto
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
50.5% (556)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
68.0% (25)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
51.1% (94)
-1.1%
On power play, Pinto has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Pinto
Home
50.7% (503)
50.0% (310)
Away
48.5% (501)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Fantilli
Pinto
P1
47.0%
51.8%
P2
52.5%
49.8%
P3
49.7%
53.1%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |