Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Pinto 50.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 86.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 61.0%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 64.9%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Fantilli
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Fantilli
Pinto
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
6
Fantilli
Pinto
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
5
6
Fantilli
Pinto
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
50.7% (2,752)
-6.0%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
54.4% (90)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
45.6% (239)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Pinto
Home
47.3% (1,209)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Fantilli
Pinto
P1
43.8%
48.4%
P2
46.3%
51.9%
P3
45.9%
50.9%
OT
25.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |