Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 54.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 52.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 53.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Fantilli
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Fantilli
Crosby
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Fantilli
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Fantilli
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
53.3% (1,025)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
64.7% (249)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
60.0% (15)
-10.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Crosby
Home
50.7% (503)
56.9% (675)
Away
48.5% (501)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Fantilli
Crosby
P1
47.0%
55.1%
P2
52.5%
53.1%
P3
49.7%
58.5%
OT
33.3%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |