Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 77.0%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 74.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 70.7%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Fantilli
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Fantilli
Crosby
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
5
Fantilli
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
4
Fantilli
Crosby
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
6
Fantilli
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
52.8% (18,031)
-8.1%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
57.4% (4,741)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
47.0% (766)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Crosby
Home
47.3% (1,209)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Fantilli
Crosby
P1
43.8%
53.6%
P2
46.3%
53.8%
P3
45.9%
53.3%
OT
25.8%
49.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:07 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |