Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Thompson 45.2% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 66.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 65.4%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 50.3%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Fantilli
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
44.6% (661)
+4.8%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
48.4% (95)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
33.3% (33)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Thompson
Home
50.7% (503)
45.7% (411)
Away
48.5% (501)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Fantilli
Thompson
P1
47.0%
47.7%
P2
52.5%
45.7%
P3
49.7%
40.5%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%