Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 59.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 78.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 67.2%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Fantilli
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Fantilli
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
51.2% (469)
-10.5%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
42.9% (21)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
37.5% (48)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gourde
Home
44.1% (488)
47.8% (301)
Away
38.6% (531)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Fantilli
Gourde
P1
42.0%
47.3%
P2
43.0%
53.4%
P3
39.3%
48.6%
OT
11.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
41.2%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |