Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Kempe 41.6% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 55.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 83.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 74.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Gaudette
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudette
Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Kempe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
37.9% (103)
+10.4%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
30.6% (36)
+28.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On power play, Gaudette has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Gaudette is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Gaudette shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kempe
Home
48.9% (92)
35.8% (67)
Away
50.3% (149)
35.5% (76)
By Period
Gaudette
Kempe
P1
48.8%
36.5%
P2
52.5%
36.7%
P3
48.1%
31.4%
Final 5 min
46.4%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |