Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Kempe 40.9% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 54.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 61.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 63.4%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Gaudette
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gaudette
Kempe
Last 7: Gaudette 4-3 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Kempe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
2
Gaudette
Kempe
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Kempe
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
40.2% (1,882)
+3.8%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
43.1% (211)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
42.6% (54)
+4.1%
On power play, Gaudette has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Gaudette is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,202).
Gaudette shoots right. Kempe is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (791).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kempe
Home
46.0% (913)
42.4% (1,046)
Away
42.6% (770)
38.8% (1,101)
By Period
Gaudette
Kempe
P1
44.9%
39.4%
P2
46.6%
40.1%
P3
41.4%
42.2%
OT
100.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |