Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Turcotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Turcotte 53.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 67.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 60.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 51.8%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Gaudette
Turcotte
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gaudette
Turcotte
Last 7: Gaudette 3-4 Turcotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
0
2
Gaudette
Turcotte
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Turcotte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Turcotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Turcotte
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
53.6% (461)
-5.3%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
70.0% (10)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turcotte shoots left. Gaudette is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Gaudette shoots right. Turcotte is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Turcotte
Home
48.9% (92)
53.2% (263)
Away
50.3% (149)
55.0% (209)
By Period
Gaudette
Turcotte
P1
48.8%
57.2%
P2
52.5%
59.6%
P3
48.1%
44.1%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |