Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Turcotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Turcotte 51.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 55.0%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 61.2%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 60.8%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Gaudette
Turcotte
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gaudette
Turcotte
Last 9: Gaudette 5-4 Turcotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudette
Turcotte
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Turcotte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Turcotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Turcotte
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
51.1% (656)
-7.1%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
61.9% (21)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
100.0% (1)
-53.3%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turcotte shoots left. Gaudette is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,202).
Gaudette shoots right. Turcotte is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Turcotte
Home
46.0% (913)
51.7% (346)
Away
42.6% (770)
51.2% (332)
By Period
Gaudette
Turcotte
P1
44.9%
53.8%
P2
46.6%
53.8%
P3
41.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |