Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.0%). Gaudette wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lizotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Lizotte 50.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 71.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 70.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Gaudette
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Gaudette
Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Lizotte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
2
Gaudette
Lizotte
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
52.9% (342)
-4.6%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
25.0% (4)
+34.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
43.1% (130)
+6.9%
On power play, Gaudette has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Gaudette is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Gaudette shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Lizotte
Home
48.9% (92)
44.2% (242)
Away
50.3% (149)
56.0% (234)
By Period
Gaudette
Lizotte
P1
48.8%
49.6%
P2
52.5%
46.9%
P3
48.1%
52.6%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |