Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudette wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Lizotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.1% vs Lizotte 50.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 86.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 53.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 68.7%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Gaudette
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Gaudette
Lizotte
Last 10: Gaudette 5-5 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
5
1
Gaudette
Lizotte
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
4
Gaudette
Lizotte
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
3
Gaudette
Lizotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,410)
51.7% (3,005)
-8.4%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
49.4% (77)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
43.0% (409)
+1.4%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Gaudette is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,141).
Gaudette shoots right. Lizotte is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,159).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Lizotte
Home
45.5% (888)
49.8% (1,780)
Away
41.6% (714)
51.6% (1,711)
By Period
Gaudette
Lizotte
P1
44.2%
48.2%
P2
45.9%
52.8%
P3
40.8%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
43.8%
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |