Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Staal 54.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 60.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 60.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 63.2%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Gaudette
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudette
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Gaudette
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Gaudette
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
56.2% (989)
-7.9%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
66.0% (159)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
42.7% (253)
+7.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudette is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Gaudette shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Staal
Home
48.9% (92)
55.4% (699)
Away
50.3% (149)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Gaudette
Staal
P1
48.8%
55.7%
P2
52.5%
54.7%
P3
48.1%
53.4%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |