Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Hayes 51.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 52.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 50.1%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Gaudette
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaudette
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Gaudette
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
51.6% (386)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
53.2% (47)
+5.1%
On power play, Gaudette has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gaudette is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Gaudette shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Hayes
Home
54.4% (206)
50.5% (200)
Away
44.4% (144)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Gaudette
Hayes
P1
49.2%
58.8%
P2
50.4%
49.3%
P3
51.6%
48.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
50.3%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |