Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Hayes 42.7% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 54.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Gaudette
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaudette
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Gaudette
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
31.9% (91)
+16.4%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
64.3% (14)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudette has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gaudette is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Gaudette shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Hayes
Home
48.9% (92)
30.6% (49)
Away
50.3% (149)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Gaudette
Hayes
P1
48.8%
22.9%
P2
52.5%
40.0%
P3
48.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.4%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |