Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 68.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 61.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 55.8%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Gaudette
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaudette
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Gaudette
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
52.6% (464)
-4.3%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
100.0% (1)
-40.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
46.5% (155)
+3.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Gaudette is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Gaudette shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kuraly
Home
48.9% (92)
55.9% (322)
Away
50.3% (149)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Gaudette
Kuraly
P1
48.8%
55.9%
P2
52.5%
46.7%
P3
48.1%
50.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |