Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 98.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 73.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 86.0%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Gaudette
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Gaudette
Kuraly
Last 10: Gaudette 1-9 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Gaudette
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
4
Gaudette
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
5
Gaudette
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
51.6% (5,161)
-7.6%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
56.4% (101)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
44.4% (1,091)
+2.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Gaudette is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,202).
Gaudette shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kuraly
Home
46.0% (913)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
42.6% (770)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Gaudette
Kuraly
P1
44.9%
51.2%
P2
46.6%
50.0%
P3
41.4%
50.2%
OT
100.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |