Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Monahan 52.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 53.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Gaudette
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Gaudette
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Gaudette
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
53.0% (874)
-4.7%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
54.7% (161)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
47.5% (101)
+2.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gaudette is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Gaudette shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Monahan
Home
48.9% (92)
53.8% (558)
Away
50.3% (149)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Gaudette
Monahan
P1
48.8%
49.5%
P2
52.5%
54.8%
P3
48.1%
52.8%
Final 5 min
46.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |