Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Monahan 51.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 81.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 81.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 82.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 81.7%
18.3%
81.7%
Gaudette
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Gaudette
Monahan
Last 8: Gaudette 6-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
1
Gaudette
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
1
Gaudette
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
51.1% (11,407)
-7.1%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
53.6% (2,582)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
45.9% (772)
+0.8%
On even strength, Monahan has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gaudette is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,202).
Gaudette shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Monahan
Home
46.0% (913)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
42.6% (770)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Gaudette
Monahan
P1
44.9%
51.0%
P2
46.6%
51.7%
P3
41.4%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |