Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Tkachuk 55.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 90.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 85.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 51.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Henrique
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
54.9% (153)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
59.4% (106)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
100.0% (1)
-49.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tkachuk
Home
52.4% (227)
50.8% (128)
Away
55.2% (324)
62.9% (132)
By Period
Henrique
Tkachuk
P1
57.0%
56.6%
P2
52.5%
58.9%
P3
52.4%
56.2%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |