Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.0%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Tkachuk 50.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 83.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 81.0%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 55.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Henrique
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Henrique
Tkachuk
Last 10: Henrique 1-9 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
9
Henrique
Tkachuk
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Tkachuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
2
Henrique
Tkachuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
48.9% (1,574)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
51.4% (1,303)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
45.0% (20)
+1.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,525).
Henrique shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tkachuk
Home
52.5% (6,430)
50.7% (1,435)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
49.3% (1,462)
By Period
Henrique
Tkachuk
P1
50.6%
49.4%
P2
51.4%
51.3%
P3
50.3%
49.1%
OT
40.6%
55.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |