Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Nelson 47.5% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 54.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Henrique
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
46.9% (915)
+5.0%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
57.4% (94)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
25.0% (28)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nelson
Home
53.1% (339)
48.9% (521)
Away
49.1% (330)
45.5% (516)
By Period
Henrique
Nelson
P1
48.5%
45.9%
P2
48.6%
48.0%
P3
54.2%
48.0%
OT
70.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
47.3%