Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Tavares 58.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 82.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 55.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Henrique
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Henrique
Tavares
Last 7: Henrique 4-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Henrique
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Henrique
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
59.2% (1,035)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
60.0% (310)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
42.9% (7)
+4.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tavares
Home
56.4% (553)
57.5% (668)
Away
50.0% (530)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Henrique
Tavares
P1
51.7%
58.0%
P2
55.5%
60.1%
P3
52.5%
61.0%
OT
66.7%
27.8%
Final 5 min
55.1%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |